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  • Search: subject:"Conditional forecasts"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Forecasting model 27 Prognoseverfahren 27 conditional forecasts 25 VAR model 19 Conditional forecasts 18 VAR-Modell 18 Bayes-Statistik 12 Bayesian inference 12 Forecast 12 Prognose 12 Economic forecast 11 Wirtschaftsprognose 11 Welt 9 World 9 Business cycle 8 DSGE models 8 Impact assessment 8 Konjunktur 8 Wirkungsanalyse 8 Conditional Forecasts 7 DSGE model 7 DSGE-Modell 7 Theorie 7 Theory 7 Bayesian VAR 6 Climate change 6 Fossil fuel 6 Fossile Energie 6 Geldpolitik 6 Monetary policy 6 CO2 emissions 5 COVID-19 5 Estimation 5 Forecasting 5 Global VAR (GVAR) 5 Schätzung 5 Time series analysis 5 Zeitreihenanalyse 5 forecasting 5 monetary policy 5
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Online availability
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Free 35 Undetermined 10 CC license 2
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 35 Article 14 Other 1
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Working Paper 26 Arbeitspapier 18 Graue Literatur 18 Non-commercial literature 18 Article in journal 8 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 8 Aufsatz im Buch 2 Book section 2 Forschungsbericht 1
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Language
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English 39 Undetermined 10 French 1
Author
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Smith, L. Vanessa 5 Tarui, Nori 5 Wieland, Volker 5 Afanasyeva, Elena 4 Benati, Luca 4 Blix, Mårten 3 Boer, Lukas 3 Pescatori, Andrea 3 Sellin, Peter 3 Stuermer, Martin 3 Yamagata, Takashi 3 Conti, Antonio M. 2 Crump, Richard K. 2 Eusepi, Stefano 2 Giannone, Domenico 2 Kotchoni, Rachidi 2 Moran, Kevin 2 Qian, Eric 2 Ritschl, Albrecht 2 Sbordone, Argia M. 2 Schorfheide, Frank 2 Stevanovic, Dalibor 2 Stevanović, Dalibor 2 Surprenant, Stéphane 2 Woitek, Ulrich 2 Wolters, Maik H. 2 Wolters, Maik Hendrik 2 Yamagatax, Takashi 2 Antolín-Díaz, Juan 1 Arai, Natsuki 1 Beneš, Jaromír 1 Binning, Andrew 1 Bloor, Chris 1 Bouda, Milan 1 Bragoudakis, Zacharias 1 Bukowski, Maciej Krzysztof 1 Chang, Jian 1 Chen, Chaoyi 1 Degiannakis, Stavros 1 Del Negro, Marco 1
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Institution
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House of Finance, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main 2 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 1 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 1 Hong Kong Monetary Authority 1 Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakutät 1 Instytut Badań Strukturalnych 1 Reserve Bank of New Zealand 1 Sveriges Riksbank 1
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Published in...
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IMFS Working Paper Series 4 Discussion Papers 2 Diskussionsschriften / Universität Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaftlehre 2 Handbook of Economic Forecasting : volume 2, part A 2 Handbook of economic forecasting ; Volume 2A 2 Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability 2 CEPR Discussion Papers 1 Cahier scientifique 1 DIW Discussion Papers 1 Discussion paper / Institute of Social and Economic Research 1 Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 1 Discussion papers in economics 1 Document de travail 1 Economic modelling 1 Economics Working Papers / Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 1 Ekonomický časopis : časopis pre ekonomickú teóriu, hospodársku politiku, spoločensko-ekonomické prognózovanie 1 Energy economics 1 Finance and economics discussion series 1 Handbook of economic forecasting ; Volume 2 1 IBS Working Papers 1 IEW - Working Papers 1 IMF working papers 1 ISER Discussion Paper 1 International journal of forecasting 1 International review of economics & finance : IREF 1 Journal of empirical finance 1 Journal of monetary economics 1 Rapport de projet 1 Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series 1 Staff Reports 1 Staff reports / Federal Reserve Bank of New York 1 Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series 1 Sveriges Riksbank working paper series 1 Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES) 1 Série scientifique / CIRANO, Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des Organisations 1 Temi di discussione / Banca d'Italia 1 The North American journal of economics and finance : a journal of financial economics studies 1 Working Paper / Bank of Greece 1 Working Paper Series / Sveriges Riksbank 1 Working Papers / Hong Kong Monetary Authority 1
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 31 RePEc 10 EconStor 8 BASE 1
Showing 41 - 50 of 50
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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik H. - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506997
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Structural Vector Autoregressions and the Analysis of Monetary Policy Interventions: The Swiss Case
Kugler, Peter; Jordan, Thomas J. - In: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES) 140 (2004) I, pp. 67-87
. Conditional forecasts generated by this model are used to analyse monetary policy within the new policy framework of the Swiss … National Bank. The generation of these conditional forecasts attempts to take the Lucas critique into account. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005581000
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Real-time conditional forecasts with Bayesian VARs : an application to New Zealand
Bloor, Chris; Matheson, Troy - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 22 (2011) 1, pp. 26-42
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266787
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Large scale, multi-sector DSGE model as a climate policy assessment tool - Macroeconomic Mitigation Options (MEMO) model for Poland
Bukowski, Maciej Krzysztof; Kowal, Pawel - Instytut Badań Strukturalnych - 2010
We assess the macroeconomic impact on Polish economy of the diversified package of about 120 different GHG mitigation levers, which were identified in the bottom-up sectoral analysis. For this purpose, we constructed a large scale, multi-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099261
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A Bivariate Distribution for Inflation and Output Forecasts
Blix, Mårten; Sellin, Peter - Sveriges Riksbank - 2000
The contribution of this paper is to derive a bivariate distribution for inflation and output uncertainty with a well-defined role for subjective judgements. The marginal distributions for inflation and output growth are derived from uncertainty in the macro variables that are deemed to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771152
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A Bivariate Distribution for Inflation and Output Forecasts
Blix, Mårten; Sellin, Peter - 2000
The contribution of this paper is to derive a bivariate distribution for inflation and output uncertainty with a well-defined role for subjective judgements. The marginal distributions for inflation and output growth are derived from uncertainty in the macro variables that are deemed to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321244
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A bivariate distribution for inflation and output forecasts
Blix, Mårten; Sellin, Peter - 2000
The contribution of this paper is to derive a bivariate distribution for inflation and output uncertainty with a well-defined role for subjective judgements. The marginal distributions for inflation and output growth are derived from uncertainty in the macro variables that are deemed to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583077
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Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression?
Ritschl, Albrecht; Woitek, Ulrich - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2000
This paper recasts Temin's (1976) question of whether monetary forces caused the Great Depression in a modern time series framework. We analyse money-income causalities and predict US output in a recursive Bayesian framework, allowing for information updating and time-varying coefficients. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123665
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The EURIBOR surge and bank deposit costs: an investigation of interest rate pass-through and deposit portfolio rebalancing
Ferrer Pérez, Alex; Ganics, Gergely; Molina Iserte, Ana; …
Artículo de revista ; Against the backdrop of sharp monetary policy tightening, this article studies the links between bank deposit costs and the EURIBOR. In doing so the authors employ an SVAR multivariate model that jointly includes deposit rates and volumes, fitted on monthly data covering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442860
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Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy
Ritschl, Albrecht; Woitek, Ulrich - Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, …
This paper recasts Temin's (1976) question of whether monetary forces caused the Great Depression in a modern time series framework. We analyze money-income causalities and predict U.S. output in a recursive Bayesian framework, allowing for information updating and time-varying coefficients. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005760928
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