We derive general, yet simple, sharp bounds on the size of the omitted variable bias for a broad class of causal parameters that can be identified as linear functionals of the conditional expectation function of the outcome. Such functionals encompass many of the traditional targets of...

We derive general, yet simple, sharp bounds on the size of the omitted variable bias for a broad class of causal parameters that can be identified as linear functionals of the conditional expectation function of the outcome. Such functionals encompass many of the traditional targets of...

Abstract: This paper compares the behavior of subjects' uncertainty in different monetary policy environments when forecasting inflation in the laboratory. We find that inflation targeting produces lower uncertainty and higher accuracy of interval forecasts than inflation forecast targeting. We...

In the setup of i.i.d. observations and a real valued differentiable functional T, locally asymptotic upper bounds are derived for the power of one-sided tests (simple, versus large values of T) and for the confidence probability of lower confidence limits (for the value of T), in the case that...

In the setup of i.i.d. observations and a real valued differentiable functional T, locally asymptotic upper bounds are derived for the power of one-sided tests (simple, versus large values of T) and for the confidence probability of lower confidence limits (for the value of T), in the case that...