Castrén, Olli; Mazzotta, Stefano - European Central Bank - 2005
We compare option-implied correlation forecasts from a dataset consisting of over 10 years of daily data on over … correlation forecasts. We find that while the predictive power of implied correlation is not always superior to that of returns … correlations. We then apply the correlation forecasts to two policyrelevant topics, to produce scenario analyses for the euro …