This paper reviews some key contributions to econometric analysis of human fertility in the last 20 years, with special focus on discussion of prevailing econometric modeling strategies. We focus on the literature that highlights the role of the key drivers of the birth outcomes, including age...

While the actions of economists and politicians can be influenced by facts, statistics or empirical predictions, narratives are becoming an increasingly important factor for the decision making in the field of economics and politics. Evaluating such narratives not at selective points in time but...

We study the impact of service trade restrictions on bilateral greenfield FDI projects in four business services sectors within a gravity model framework. Project level FDI data for 43 destination countries and up to 41 source countries spanning the years 2014–2020 stems from the fDi Markets...

This paper develops a multivariate model for count time series, in which the time-varying intensity parameter determining the probability that an event occurs evolves according to general autoregressive score (GAS) models (see Creal et al., 2013; Harvey, 2013).The model is particularly suitable to...

This report focuses on the forecast of the number of monthly cross-border deals in the European Union. We propose a new model to improve the forecasting properties of a count model of Foreign Direct Investment deals in EU, by taking into account past trends in high-frequency (daily) deal data...