This report examines how migration will shape the region’s demographic and socio-economic future by 2035 under two trajectories: EU Integration, marked by institutional strengthening and circular mobility, and Strategic Isolation, characterised by governance stagnation and one-way outflows....

This paper shows how measures of uncertainty from a standard time series model (ARIMA) can be applied to an existing population projection based on components of change using the world as a case study. The measures of forecast uncertainty are relatively easy to calculate and meet several...

As populations age, the sustainability of long-term care systems increasingly depends on the availability of informal care, particularly from partners. This paper addresses the question of how much care we may expect partners to provide in the future by projecting demand for long-term care...