This paper considers Bayesian variable selection in regressions with a large number of possibly highly correlated macroeconomic predictors. I show that by acknowledging the correlation structure in the predictors can improve forecasts over existing popular Bayesian variable selection algorithms.

This paper considers Bayesian variable selection in regressions with a large number of possibly highly correlated macroeconomic predictors. I show that by acknowledging the correlation structure in the predictors can improve forecasts over existing popular Bayesian variable selection algorithms.

Models commonly employed to fit current claims data and predict future claims are often parametric and relatively inflexible. An incorrect model assumption can cause model misspecification which leads to reduced profits at best and dangerous, unanticipated risk exposure at worst. Even mixture...

In this paper we introduce a new flexible mixed model for multinomial discrete choice where the key individual- and alternative-specific parameters of interest are allowed to follow an assumptionfree nonparametric density specification while other alternative-specific coefficients are assumed to...

Joint models for longitudinal and survival data are often used to investigate the association between longitudinal data and survival data in many studies. A common assumption for joint models is that random effects are distributed as a fully parametric distribution such as multivariate normal...

This paper develops a Bayesian local influence approach to assess the effects of minor perturbations to the prior, sampling distribution and individual observations on the statistical inference in generalized partial linear mixed models (GPLMMs) with the distribution of random effects specified...