This paper examines how monetary policy affects the riskiness of the financial sector's aggregate balance sheet, a mechanism referred to as the risk channel of monetary policy. I study the risk channel in a DSGE model with nominal frictions and a banking sector that can issue both outside equity...

This paper, together with a technical companion paper, presents MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, bank loans create purchasing power that facilitates adjustments in the...

This paper presents the theoretical structure of MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, bank loans create purchasing power that facilitates adjustments in the real economy....

A medium-scale nonlinear DSGE model is estimated (54 variables, 29 state variables, 7 observed variables). The model includes stock market. RMSE of in sample and out of sample forecasts are calculated. The nonlinear DSGE model with measurement errors outperform AR(1), VAR(1), linearized DSGE in...

In response to the disruption of credit markets and the zero lower bound during the recent financial crisis, the Federal Reserve introduced a variety of new policy tools. Perhaps, the most visible of these tools is large scale asset purchases (LSAP) programs, often referred to as "quantitative...

This paper introduces a time domain framework to analyze global identification of stochastically nonsingular DSGE models. A formal identification condition is established that relies on the restrictions linking the observationally equivalent minimal state space representations and on the...

In this paper I study how alternative assumptions about expectation formation can modify the implications of financial frictions for the real economy. I incorporate a financial accelerator mechanism into a version of the Smets and Wouters (2007) DSGE model and perform a set of estimation and...

Different from conventional macroeconomic models, which start from the presumption that the economy is permanently in need of control and repair, the goods side/money side (GSMS) approach is not a tool to guide policy intervention but aims at demonstrating how the economy works. As such, the...

This paper constructs a DSGE model for an economy with commodity exports. We estimate the model on Russian data, making a special focus on quantitative effects of commodity price dynamics. There is a widespread belief that economic activity in Russia crucially depends on oil prices, but...