In this paper, we propose a component-based dynamic factor model for nowcasting GDP growth. We combine ideas from "bottom-up" approaches, which utilize the national income accounting identity through modelling and predicting sub-components of GDP, with a dynamic factor (DF) model, which is...

China and India, two Asian countries that experienced a rapid decline in fertility since the middle of the twentieth century, are the focus of this paper. Although there is no doubt that lower fertility levels have many positive effects on the economy, development and sustainability, little is...

This paper introduces a novel dynamic factor model designed to capture common locally explosive episodes, also known as common bubbles, within large-dimensional, potentially non-stationary time series. The model leverages a lower-dimensional set of factors exhibiting locally explosive behavior...