This paper compares within-sample and out-of-sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real-time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4. The adaptive learning...

This work investigates the impact of an increase in the money supply on inflation using DSGE model in Madagascar. The results showed a strong positive correlation between these two variables, confirming the economic theory that an increase in the money supply leads to a proportional increase in...

This note shows that combining external forecasts such as the Survey of Professional Fore casters can significantly increase DSGE forecast accuracy while preserving the interpretability in terms of structural shocks. Applied to pseudo real-time from 1997q2 onward, the canonical Smets and Wouters...

We examine the social and agent-specific welfare effects of monetary and macroprudential policy in a four-agent estimated macroeconomic model, consisting of ''banked simple house- holds', underbanked simple households', 'firm owners', and 'bank owners'. Optimal capital requirement and loan loss...