Fluctuations in commodity prices are an important driver of business cycles in small emerging market economies (EMEs). This paper documents how these fluctuations correlate strongly with the business cycle in EMEs. A commodity sector is then embedded into a multi-country EMEs business cycle...

We propose a model to study economic convergence in the tradition of neoclassical growth theory. We employ a novel stochastic set-up of the Solow (1956) model with shocks to both capital and labor. Our novel approach identifies the speed of convergence directly from estimating the parameters...

Recently, perturbation has received attention as a numerical method for computing an approximate solution of a nonlinear dynamic stochastic model, which we call a nonlinear rational expectations (NLRE) model. To date perturbation methods have been described and applied as single-step...

The deterministic extended-path (EP) method for solving dynamic stochastic optimisation problems approximates conditional expectations instead of approximating a model's complex non-linear dynamics. For a benchmark real business cycle model we show that this straightforward approach provides...

The deterministic extended-path method for solving dynamic stochastic optimization problems approximates conditional expectations instead of approximating a model's complex non-linear dynamics. We show that this straightforward approach provides similar accuracy to the best results reported for...

We show that the deterministic Extended-Path (EP) method of Fair and Taylor (1983) solves standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models with similar accuracy to the best results reported in the literature for alternative methods. The EP method demands more computer time than other...