Several recent surveys ask for a person's subjective probabilities that the in- ation rate falls into various outcome ranges. We provide a new measure of the uncertainty implicit in such probabilities. The measure has several advantages over existing methods: It is trivial to implement, requires...

Several recent surveys ask for a person's subjective probabilities that the in- ation rate falls into various outcome ranges. We provide a new measure of the uncertainty implicit in such probabilities. The measure has several advantages over existing methods: It is trivial to implement, requires...

World Economic Climate: ifo World Economic Climate Deteriorates - Advanced Economies: Upturn in the Advanced Economies Loses its Momentum - Emerging and Developing Economies: Recovery in Emerging Market and Developing Economies Cools Down - Special Topic: US Tax and Trade Policy – Perceived...

World Economic Climate: World Economic Climate continues to brighten - Advanced Economies: Advanced economies are key drivers of global recovery - Emerging and Developing Economies: Emerging and Developing Economies still underperforming - Special Topic: Free trade – What do WES experts think?

World Economic Climate: ifo World Economic Climate Improves Markedly - Advanced Economies: Advanced Economies keep their Momentum - Emerging and Developing Economies: Emerging and Developing Economies show Signs of a Cautious Recovery - Special Topic: The WES Special Question: The Economic...

World Economic Climate: ifo World Economic Climate Remains Positive - Advanced Economies: Advanced Economies Stabilise at a Favourable Level - Emerging and Developing Economies: Emerging and Developing Economies Project Slower Recovery - Special Box: A Comparison between CPB World Trade Monitor...