"The contributors to this volume include eminent scholars working on the topic of global trade and investment modeling The volume provides a fresh perspective on the role of model-based analysis in socio-economic and sustainability impacts of economic integration (and disintegration in the case...

Introduction -- Exploratory Classification of Time-Series -- Predicting the tail behaviour of financial time series exchange/Johannesburg stock exchange closing banking indices - Extreme value theory approach -- Financial Econometrics and Systemic Risk -- Monetary Policy Shocks, Financial...

1 Introduction -- 2 ‘Classical’ Techniques of Modelling Trends and Cycles -- 3 Stochastic Trends and Cycles -- 4 Filtering Economic Time Series -- 5 Nonlinear and Nonparametric Trend and Cycle Modelling -- 6 Multivariate Modelling of Trends and Cycles -- 7 Conclusions.