This dissertation presents a prototype model and methodology for validating a simpleagent-based model against the basic Hotelling monopoly model and a few basic extensions.Hotelling's Rule identi es the expected behavior of a market for a nonrenewable resource.The statement is simple - marginal...

We propose a new and simple methodology to estimate the loss function associated with experts' forecasts. Under the assumption of conditional normality of the data and the forecast distribution, the asymmetry parameter of the lin-lin and linex loss function can easily be estimated using a linear...

The objective of this paper is to assess empirically the impacts of further reform of the CommonAgricultural Policy (CAP) on the agri-food sector in Finland. To meet the objective, aneconometric model for Finnish agriculture - built as a part of the AGMEMOD project - wasutilised. The projection...

The empirical literature is very far from any consensus about the appropriate model for oil price forecasting that should be implemented. Relative to the previous literature, this paper is novel in several respects. First of all, we test and systematically evaluate the ability of several...

We propose a new and simple methodology to estimate the loss function associated with experts' forecasts. Under the assumption of conditional normality of the data and the forecast distribution, the asymmetry parameter of the lin-lin and linex loss function can easily be estimated using a linear...

In this article, we study popularity functions for the French President and Prime Minister. We show that the responsibility hypothesis is validated for the unemployment rate but not for the inflation rate. We also show that voters have not a behavior compatible with the rational expectations...