In this paper, the authors survey some of the recent techniques proposed in the literature to measure the trend component of output or potential output. Given the reported shortcomings of mechanical filters and univariate approaches to estimate potential output, the paper focusses on three...

This paper reconsiders several recently published but controversial results about the behaviour of exchange rates. In particular, it explores finite-sample problems in the application of cointegration tests and shows how these may have affected the conclusions of recent research. It also...

This paper addresses the question: What factors are associated with, or influence, a partnered male’s participation in paid employment over his lifetime? Analyses in this paper are restricted to males who are aged 25 to 64 and have a partner. Of particular interest is whether a non-intact...

Univariate spectral analysis is used to model seasonally unadjusted quarterly unemployment rate data for Australia, 1978(2) to 2002(3). Data are tested for three categories: persons, males and females. Dynamic out-of-sample forecasts are made for 8 quarters using spectral analysis models...

This paper provides an assessment of the nature of attrition in the HILDA Survey sample between wave 1 and wave 2. More specifically, the paper presents summary statistics on the levels of response achieved in wave 2, reports on observable differences between wave 1 respondents who did not...

This paper explores the following question - Has there been any long-run increase (or decrease) in the ‘incidence’ of long-term unemployment once we have corrected for cyclical factors? Our research leads us to conclude that: (i) the incidence of male long-term unemployment has been neither...

Based on a longitudinal data base we test the "liability of adolescence" hypothesis which states that new firm hazard rates follow an inverted U-shaped pattern. That is, the hazard rate is low for the initial period; the end of adolescence is marked by a hazard maximum, from which then rate...