Using a simple model, this paper shows how a strict monetary rule exhibits characteristics similar to those of an exchange rate anchor, in terms of a lack of robustness in the presence of adverse expectations (“bad dreams”). More specifically, as an anticipated devaluation under an exchange...

Did real overvaluation contribute to the 1991 currency crisis in India? This paper seeks an answer by constructing the equilibrium real exchange rate, using an error correction model and a technique developed by Gonzalo and Granger (1995). The results are affirmative and the evidence indicates...

This paper reviews recent developments in the exchange system in the Islamic Republic of Iran and in the real effective exchange rate (REER). It also considers the determinants of the REER in connection with the choice of exchange regime after unification. The study illustrates how economic...

The IMF's internal analysis of exchange rate issues has been guided by, and limited by, the conceptual and empirical frameworks that have emerged from the collective research of the economics profession. The research has provided several general approaches that are useful for assessing whether...

This paper examines the exchange rate effects of monetary policy shocks in New Zealand in the framework of the international monetary transmission mechanism. The model variables are suggested by a hybrid New Open Economy Macroeconomic (NOEM) model. Our empirical analysis indicates plausible...

We formulate a market microstructure model of exchange determination we employ to investigate the impact of informed trading on exchange rates and on foreign exchange (FX) market conditions. With our formulation we show how strategic informed agents influence exchange rates via both...

This paper examines the exchange rate effects of monetary policy shocks in New Zealand in the framework of the international monetary transmission mechanism. The model variables are suggested by a hybrid New Open Economy Macroeconomic (NOEM) model. Our empirical analysis indicates plausible...

The main objective of this paper is to explain the phenomena of persistent inflation in Romania through the use of a simple empirical model which highlights the links between inflation and the government budget deficit. We discuss the importance of using a proper definition of the public sector...

We formulate a market microstructure model of exchange determination we employ to investigate the impact of foreign exchange intervention on exchange rates and on foreign exchange (FX) market conditions. With our formulation we show i) how foreign exchange intervention in°uences exchange rates...