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Kortelainen, Mika 1 Paloviita, Maritta 1 Viren, Matti 1
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Observed inflation forecasts and the new Keynesian macro model
Kortelainen, Mika; Paloviita, Maritta; Viren, Matti - In: Economics Letters 112 (2011) 1, pp. 88-90
This paper compares the GMM and measured expectations in estimating the conventional New Keynesian macro model for the Euro area and the United States. The use of measured expectations strongly reduces the importance of lagged output and inflation terms.
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