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  • Search: subject:"Expert forecasts"
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Year of publication
Subject
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expert forecasts 34 model forecasts 21 Prognoseverfahren 13 Forecasting model 9 Expert forecasts 8 Experten 8 Experts 8 Absatz 6 Bayesian analysis 6 Markov regime-switching models 6 Vergleich 6 disagreement 6 survey forecasts 6 time series 6 Brent 5 Forecast 5 Prognose 5 Theorie 5 WTI 5 cognitive process feedback 5 endogeneity 5 forecast adjustment 5 forecast combination 5 judgmental adjustment 5 oil market 5 outcome feedback 5 performance feedback 5 real-time data 5 survey expectations 5 task properties feedback 5 Bayes-Statistik 4 Sachverständige 4 Theory 4 judgemental adjustment 4 retail gasoline price 4 Comparison 3 Experiment 3 Model forecasts 3 Risikopräferenz 3 Risk attitude 3
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Online availability
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Free 42 CC license 1
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 41 Article 1
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Working Paper 15 Arbeitspapier 8 Graue Literatur 8 Non-commercial literature 8 Article in journal 1 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1
Language
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Undetermined 25 English 17
Author
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Franses, Philip Hans 23 Legerstee, Rianne 15 Paap, Richard 9 Franses, Ph.H.B.F. 7 Legerstee, Legerstee, R. 6 Baumeister, Christiane 5 Kilian, Lutz 5 Legerstee, R. 5 Lee, Thomas K. 3 Barreiro-Hurlé, Jesús 2 Bougherara, Douadia 2 Cerjak, Marija 2 Czajkowski, Mikołaj 2 Höhler, Julia 2 Lagerkvist, Carl-Johan 2 Lange, Andreas 2 Lee, Thomas 2 Maya, Rubén Albeiro Loaiza 2 Melo, Luis Fernando 2 Minnich, Aljoscha 2 Rodriguez-Entrena, Macario 2 Roggenkamp, Hauke 2 Rommel, Jens 2 Sagebiel, Julian 2 Schaak, Henning 2 Tensi, Annika 2 Thoyer, Sophie 2 Vecchio, Riccardo 2 Zagórska, Katarzyna 2 Boulaksil, Boulaksil, Y. 1 Boulaksil, Y. 1 Cemablo, Luigi 1 Cembalo, Luigi 1 Cop, Tajana 1 Espinonsa-Goded, María 1 Espinosa, Maria 1 Klein, Andrew 1 Paap, R. 1 Stekler, H.O. 1 Tomic´ Maksan, Marina 1
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Institution
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Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam 7 Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute 6 Tinbergen Instituut 4 Tinbergen Institute 3 BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA 1 Banco de la Republica de Colombia 1 Center for Financial Studies 1 Department of Economics, George Washington University 1 Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam. 1 Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam 1
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Published in...
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Econometric Institute Research Papers 7 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 7 Econometric Institute Report 6 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 4 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 4 CESifo Working Paper 2 CESifo working papers 2 CFS Working Paper Series 2 BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 1 Borradores de Economia 1 CFS working paper series 1 ERIM Report Series Research in Management 1 Q open : a journal of agricultural, climate, environmental, food, resource, and rural development economics 1 Research Paper / Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam. 1 Working Papers / Department of Economics, George Washington University 1 Working papers 1
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Source
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RePEc 26 ECONIS (ZBW) 9 EconStor 7
Showing 1 - 10 of 42
Cover Image
Who can predict farmers' choices in risky gambles?
Schaak, Henning; Rommel, Jens; Sagebiel, Julian; … - In: Q open : a journal of agricultural, climate, … 4 (2024) 2, pp. 1-23
Risk is a pervasive factor in agriculture and a subject of great interest to agricultural economists. However, there is a lack of comprehensive understanding of the knowledge held by farm advisors, students, and economists with regards to farmers' risk preferences. Misconceptions about farmers'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015374814
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Cover Image
Ambiguity Attitudes and Surprises: Experimental Evidence on Communicating New Information within a Large Population Sample
Minnich, Aljoscha; Roggenkamp, Hauke; Lange, Andreas - 2023
This paper investigates ambiguity attitudes for natural events (temperatures) and how they are updated following new information. Using a general population sample, we first obtain baseline ambiguity attitudes for future weather events based on real temperatures over several past days. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469576
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Ambiguity attitudes and surprises : experimental evidence on communicating new information within a large population sample
Minnich, Aljoscha; Roggenkamp, Hauke; Lange, Andreas - 2023
This paper investigates ambiguity attitudes for natural events (temperatures) and how they are updated following new information. Using a general population sample, we first obtain baseline ambiguity attitudes for future weather events based on real temperatures over several past days. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431440
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How well can experts predict farmers' choices in risky gambles?
Schaak, Henning; Rommel, Jens; Sagebiel, Julian; … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305725
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Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas K. - 2016
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available information. We explore several new forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431288
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Cover Image
Inside the crystal ball : new approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas - 2016
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available information. We explore several new forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429580
Saved in:
Cover Image
Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas K. - 2015
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available information. We explore a range of new forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464595
Saved in:
Cover Image
Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas K. - Center for Financial Studies - 2015
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available information. We explore a range of new forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011124460
Saved in:
Cover Image
Inside the crystal ball : new approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas - 2015
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available information. We explore a range of new forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464683
Saved in:
Cover Image
Bayesian Forecast Combination for Inflation Using Rolling Windows: An Emerging Country Case
Melo, Luis Fernando; Maya, Rubén Albeiro Loaiza - BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - 2012
individual models using expert forecasts as prior information. To take into account two common characteristics in emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763698
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