This paper uses logistic regression to construct a one-quarter ahead prediction model for classical business cycle regimes in the UK. The binary dependent variable is obtained by applying simple mechanical rules to date turning points in quarterly real GDP data from 1963 to 1999. Using a range...

This paper investigates the determinants of the firm's decision to issue corporate bonds in emerging Asian economies, using a novel database covering the period 1995 to 2004. We use comparable micro level panel data for 4 countries - Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia and Thailand - to explore the...