This paper investigates the short- and medium-term causal impact of austerity on local fiscal, economic, and political outcomes. We exploit a 2013 state-level austerity program in Hesse, Germany and manually code 2,900 consolidation measures for 86 municipalities, distinguishing between tax- and...

This paper examines how artificial intelligence (AI) reshapes subnational public finance, largely through familiar channels observed from prior technological change. Although some effects are novel, many issues surrounding the taxation of AI-related income and consumption parallel earlier...

At just under £8 billion, spending on schools and childcare is the second-largest area of public service spending in Scotland, behind spending on health. While councils rather than the Scottish Government itself determine how much to spend on schools, they do so in the context of a funding and...

The UK government is consulting on significant reforms to how funding from central government is allocated between English councils. From 2026-27, there will be a new system for allocating funding between councils, which will take account of new official assessments of councils' spending needs...

The objective of this study is to evaluate the fiscal sustainability of Local Government Units (LGUs) in the Visegrad Group economies (Czechia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia; the V4), focusing on three key hypotheses: (1) LGUs in the V4 are involved in so-called Ponzi games; (2) the adverse...

In any system for funding local government, there are inherent trade-offs between competing policy objectives. We have discussed these at length in a recent report (Phillips, 2024), and in our submission to the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG) December 2024...

Can negotiated peace settlements promote fiscal capacity in post-conflict countries? We explore this question in the context of the 2016 peace agreement in Colombia, after which more than 6,000 insurgents collectively demobilized and a series of peace zones was created. Leveraging the uneven...