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  • Search: subject:"Forecast uncertainty"
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Year of publication
Subject
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forecast uncertainty 19 Prognoseverfahren 9 Prognose 8 Forecast 7 Forecast Uncertainty 7 Forecasting model 6 Economic forecast 5 Forecast uncertainty 5 Theorie 5 Wirtschaftsprognose 5 Mahalanobis distance 4 Monetary policy 4 Risiko 4 Risk 4 Theory 4 Unternehmensbewertung 4 business forecast 4 false discovery rate 4 panel data 4 simultaneous confidence region 4 Certainty-Equivalence 3 Consensus Forecasts 3 Global Financial Crisis 3 Inflation 3 Optimal Monetary Policy 3 Scheffé's S-method 3 Schätzung 3 Taylor Rule 3 Aggregate shocks 2 Analysis of Past Results 2 Bank of England 2 Beherrschungs- und Gewinnabführungsvertrag 2 Best critical region 2 Bilanzanalyse 2 Business Valuation 2 Censoring 2 Chebyshev density 2 Control and Profit and Loss Transfer Agreements 2 DRS 15 2 DRS 5 2
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Online availability
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Free 32
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 32
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Working Paper 18 Arbeitspapier 6 Graue Literatur 6 Non-commercial literature 6 Conference Paper 1
Language
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English 23 German 6 Undetermined 3
Author
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Lahiri, Kajal 5 Jordà, Òscar 4 Klein, Martin 4 Knüppel, Malte 4 Marcellino, Massimiliano 4 Sheng, Xuguang 4 Bauer, Christian 3 Neuenkirch, Matthias 3 Henselmann, Klaus 2 Mitchell, James 2 Nymoen, Ragnar 2 Peng, Huaming 2 Raschdorf, Florian 2 Schrenker, Claudia 2 Schultefrankenfeld, Guido 2 Tödter, Karl-Heinz 2 Weale, Martin 2 Binning, Andrew 1 Kang, Wensheng 1 Lindén, Staffan 1 Liu, Fushang 1 Lundholm, Michael 1 Maih, Junior 1 Manski, Charles F. 1 Ratti, Ronald A. 1 Reifschneider, David 1 Topa, Giorgio 1 Tulip, Peter 1 Vespignani, Joaquin 1 de Bruin, Wandi Bruine 1 van der Klaauw, Wilbert 1
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Institution
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Deutsche Bundesbank 3 Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg 3 Department of Economics, European University Institute 1 Directorate-General Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission 1 Econometric Society 1 Fach Volkswirtschaftslehre, Universität Trier 1 Nationalekonomiska institutionen, Stockholms Universitet 1 ifo Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München e.V. 1 Økonomisk institutt, Universitetet i Oslo 1
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Published in...
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Working Papers in Accounting Valuation Auditing 6 Discussion Paper Series 1 3 Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 3 Research Papers in Economics 3 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland working paper series 2 Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2010: Ökonomie der Familie - Session: Advances in Time Series Analysis 1 CAMA working paper series 1 CESifo Working Paper 1 CESifo working papers 1 Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 1 Economics Working Papers / Department of Economics, European University Institute 1 European Economy - Economic Papers 1 Ifo Working Paper Series 1 Memorandum 1 Memorandum / Økonomisk institutt, Universitetet i Oslo 1 Research discussion paper / Reserve Bank of Australia : RDP 1 Research papers in economics 1 Staff Report 1 Working Paper 1 ifo Working Paper 1
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Source
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EconStor 13 RePEc 13 ECONIS (ZBW) 6
Showing 1 - 10 of 32
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Censored density forecasts : production and evaluation
Mitchell, James; Weale, Martin - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375498
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Censored density forecasts : production and evaluation
Mitchell, James; Weale, Martin - 2021
This paper develops methods for the production and evaluation of censored density forecasts. Censored density forecasts quantify forecast risks in a middle region of the density covering a specified probability, and ignore the magnitude but not the frequency of outlying observations. We propose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587322
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Gauging the uncertainty of the economic outlook using historical forecasting errors : the federal reserve's approach
Reifschneider, David; Tulip, Peter - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262411
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Oil price shocks and policy uncertainty : new evidence on the effects of US and non-US oil production
Kang, Wensheng; Ratti, Ronald A.; Vespignani, Joaquin - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011748492
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Forecast Uncertainty in the Neighborhood of the Effective Lower Bound: How Much Asymmetry Should We Expect?
Binning, Andrew; Maih, Junior - 2016
The lower bound on interest rates has restricted the impact of conventional monetary policies over recent years and could continue to do so in the near future, with the decline in natural real rates not predicted to reverse any time soon. A binding lower bound on interest rates has consequences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143891
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Forecast uncertainty and the Taylor rule
Bauer, Christian; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2015
standard deviation of individual forecasts around the median Consensus Forecast as proxy for forecast uncertainty. Our sample … react significantly to inflation forecast uncertainty by reducing their policy rates in times of higher inflation … forecast uncertainty. We conclude with some implications for optimal monetary policy rules and central bank watchers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288428
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Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity
Lahiri, Kajal; Peng, Huaming; Sheng, Xuguang - 2015
the conceptually correct benchmark forecast uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307129
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Forecast Uncertainty and the Taylor Rule
Bauer, Christian; Neuenkirch, Matthias - Fach Volkswirtschaftslehre, Universität Trier - 2015
standard deviation of individual forecasts around the median Consensus Forecast as proxy for forecast uncertainty. Our sample … react significantly to inflation forecast uncertainty by reducing their policy rates in times of higher inflation … forecast uncertainty. We conclude with some implications for optimal monetary policy rules and central bank watchers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264758
Saved in:
Cover Image
Forecast uncertainty and the taylor rule
Bauer, Christian; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2015
standard deviation of individual forecasts around the median Consensus Forecast as proxy for forecast uncertainty. Our sample … react significantly to inflation forecast uncertainty by reducing their policy rates in times of higher inflation … forecast uncertainty. We conclude with some implications for optimal monetary policy rules and central bank watchers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512077
Saved in:
Cover Image
Measuring uncertainty of a combined forecast and some tests for forecaster heterogeneity
Lahiri, Kajal; Peng, Huaming; Sheng, Xuguang - 2015
the conceptually correct benchmark forecast uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305389
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