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Conditional equilibrium-correction 1 Forecasting with breaks 1 Money demand 1
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Ahumada, Hildegart A. 1 Garegnani, Maria Lorena 1
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International Journal of Forecasting 1
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Forecasting a monetary aggregate under instability: Argentina after 2001
Ahumada, Hildegart A.; Garegnani, Maria Lorena - In: International Journal of Forecasting 28 (2012) 2, pp. 412-427
This paper compares different forecasting approaches for the Argentine monetary aggregate M2, which is a key variable for monetary policy. First, we estimate a conditional equilibrium-correction model of money demand, which is theory consistent and accounts for the main features of the data....
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