We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible Hyndman-Ullah and De Jong-Tickle extensions. These...

We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible Hyndman-Ullah and De Jong-Tickle extensions. These...

The past few years have highlighted the need to protect diversity in its broader concept and, in particular, with reference to the ecological context for environmental protection. In this context, the problem of the definition and the measurement of diversity becomes fundamental. This paper...

Functional analysis of variance involves testing for differences in functional means across k groups in n functional responses. If a significant overall difference in the mean curves is detected, one may want to identify the location of these differences. Cox and Lee (2008) proposed performing a...

When independence is assumed, forecasts of mortality for subpopulations are almost always divergent in the long term. We propose a method for coherent forecasting of mortality rates for two or more subpopulations, based on functional principal components models of simple and interpretable...

Let (Xi,Yi)i=1,…,n be a sequence of stationary ergodic processes valued in F×R, where F is a semi-metric space. We consider the problem of estimating the regression function of Yi given Xi by the robust M-estimation method. The principal aim of this work is to prove the almost complete...

Our goal is to predict a scalar value or a group membership from the discretized observation of curves with sharp local features that might vary both vertically and horizontally. To this aim, we propose to combine the use of the nonparametric functional regression estimator developed by Ferraty...