Multi-objective Bayesian optimization (MOBO) is an efficient and robust optimization framework for expensive functions. In this work, we use MOBO to optimize the free parameters of a high-order nonlinear weighted essentially non-oscillatory (WENO) reconstruction scheme to devise a model for...

In this work, we develop a multi-fidelity Bayesian experimental design framework to efficiently quantify the extreme-event statistics of an input-to-response (ItR) system with given input probability and expensive function evaluations. The key idea here is to leverage low-fidelity samples whose...

In this article we introduce a new framework for counterparty risk model backtesting based on Bayesian methods. This provides a conceptually sound approach for analyzing model performance which is also straightforward to implement. We show that our methodology provides important advantages over...

This note provides sufficient conditions for the existence of equilibrium in a class of extended Bayesian persuasion models. We consider a framework in which a single sender discloses public information to n receivers. After observing the sender’s signal, the receivers update their beliefs to...

We investigate whether the Federal Reserve has responded systematically to house and stock prices and whether this response has changed over time using a Bayesian structural VAR model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility. To recover the systematic component of monetary policy,...

The detection of anomalous data patterns is one of the most prominent machine learning use cases in industrial applications. Unfortunately very often there are no ground truth labels available and therefore it is good practice to combine different unsupervised base learners with the hope to...