There is a broad literature about fundamental determinants of house prices, which received increasing attention in the aftermath of the subprime crisis. However, there might be several other partly unobservable socio-demographic, psychological or individual factors influencing real estate price...

There is a broad literature about fundamental determinants of house prices, which received increasing attention in the aftermath of the subprime crisis. However, there might be several other partly unobservable socio-demographic, psychological or individual factors influencing real estate price...

This paper examines the usefulness of Google Trends data for forecasting mortgage lending in the Czech Republic. While the official monthly statistics on mortgage lending come with a publication lag of one month, the data on how often people search for mortgage-related terms on the internet are...

There is a broad literature about fundamental determinants of house prices, which received increasing attention in the aftermath of the subprime crisis. However, there might be several other partly unobservable socio-demographic, psychological or individual factors influencing real estate price...

We suggest the use of an index of Internet job-search intensity (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict the US monthly unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt our preferred leading indicator (GI), the more...

We suggest the use of an Internet job-search indicator (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our preferred leading indicator (GI), the more standard...

We suggest the use of an Internet job-search indicator (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our preferred leading indicator (GI), the more standard...

This article tests the power of a novel indicator based on job search related web queries in predicting quarterly unemployment rates in short samples. Augmenting standard time series specifications with this indicator definitely improves out-of-sample forecasting performance at nearly all...