Bianchi, Marco - Institut de Recherche Économique et Sociale (IRES), … - 1995
is violated, due to occurrence of structural breaks, Granger causality tests can provide misleading inference about the … underlying relationship of causality. We consider a Bayesian model for the detection of structural breaks which can make Granger … causality tests ‘robust’ to the presence of structural instabilities in the sample. An application of the method to the Canadian …