Producer price inflation has long been considered a leading indicator for consumer price inflation. However, the evidence supporting the cost-push theory of inflation over extended periods is inconclusive and lacks direct quantification. To address this gap, we employ structural break and...

This study analyzes the long-run relationship between economic growth (EG) and financial development (FD) in 27 emerging countries over the period 1980 to 2018 by employing the Johansen-Fisher panel cointegration method. The study also performs the vector error correction model (VECM) to...

This article introduces a very flexible framework for causal and predictive market views and stress-testing. The framework elegantly combines Bayesian networks (BNs) and Entropy Pooling (EP). In the new framework, BNs are used to generate a finite set of joint causal views / stress-tests for the...

This study uses data from the Statistics Canada Longitudinal Worker File linked to Canadian census records to examine the impact of firm closures and involuntary job loss on entry into gig work. The analysis distinguishes between the actions of those who experienced an actual layoff associated...

Our paper examines the relationship between bank credit to the private sector and economic growth in Morocco during the period 2003-2020. We employ a VECM in an econometric framework that controls for the impact of structural breaks. In the short run, we provide robust evidence for a one-way...

This study aims to accomplish three main tasks. Firstly, it seeks to determine the more appropriate choice between classical and Bayesian methods in estimating a pooled panel kink regression model under the condition of a known but bounded policy variable choice that serves as a kink point....

We analyze the impact of an inflow of foreign workers on the wage distribution of residents in a small open economy like Switzerland. We exploit the fact that Swiss mobility regions were differently affected by the intensity and the timing of the Agreement on the Free Movement of Persons,...