We propose a new model to decompose inflation swaps into genuine inflation expectations and risk premiums. We develop a no-arbitrage term structure model with stochastic endpoints, separating macroeconomic variables into transitory parts and long-run, economically grounded determinants, such as...

We examine the inflation-hedging properties of various financial assets and portfolios by estimating simple time-series models of the joint dynamics of each asset-inflation pair, for multiple inflation indices and at horizons from one month to 30 years. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to...

This paper uses UK time-series data to document that the ratio of inflation-linked debt to total public debt (“linker share”) is procyclical. The business cycle properties of the linker share indicate a positive relationship with inflation, even after controlling for breakeven inflation....

Households participating in financial markets pay attention to inflation news when making their investment decisions, even in an environment of mostly low and stable inflation. ETFs and open-ended mutual funds holding Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) receive inflows from retail...

Households participating in financial markets pay attention to inflation news when making their investment decisions, even in an environment of mostly low and stable inflation. ETFs and open-ended mutual funds holding Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) receive inflows from retail...

UK time-series data are used to document that the ratio of inflation-linked debt to total public debt (“linker share”) is procyclical. The business cycle properties of the linker share indicate a positive relationship with inflation, even after controlling for breakeven inflation. This can...