We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...

The reform of LIBOR by its administrator IBA to a transaction-based benchmark, completed 2019, has not succeeded due to lack of transactions. In July 2017 the UK FCA Chief Bailey prepared the market for the end of LIBOR by end-2021. National working groups have developed alternatives to LIBOR...