This paper considers the problem of estimating a linear univariate Time Series State Space model for which the shape of the distribution of the observation noise is not specified a priori. Although somewhat challenging computationally, the simultaneous estimation of the parameters of the model...

Using recent advances in the nonparametric estimation of continuous-time processes under mild statistical assumptions as well as recent developments on nonparametric volatility estimation by virtue of market microstructure noise-contaminated high-frequency asset price data, we provide (i) a...

In this paper we present a new kernel, the Railway Kernel, that works properly for general (nonlinear) classification problems, with the interesting property that acts locally as a linear kernel. In this way, we avoid potential problems due to the use of a general purpose kernel, like the RBF...

Suppose that a target function f0 : Rd - R is monotonic, namely weakly increasing, and an original estimate f of this target function is available, which is not weakly increasing. Many common estimation methods used in statistics produce such estimates f. We show that these estimates can always...

Suppose that a target function is monotonic, namely, weakly increasing, and an original estimate of the target function is available, which is not weakly increasing. Many common estimation methods used in statistics produce such estimates. We show that these estimates can always be improved with...

In regression, the desired estimate of y|x is not always given by a conditional mean, althoughthis is most common. Sometimes one wants to obtain a good estimate that satisfies the propertythat a proportion, t, of y|x, will be below the estimate. For t = 0.5 this is an estimate of themedian. What...