pension system is not straight forward. By application of a partially linear model to micro data from the German public …

'data augmentation Bayesian forecasting.' First, a dynamic linear model estimation was constructed with a hierarchically …

model, the artificial neural network model, and a couple of other models. Many of these nonlinear models nest a linear model … linear model. There exist relatively large studies in which the forecasting performance of nonlinear models is compared with … lessons from them described. In general, no dominant nonlinear (or linear) model has emerged. …