This paper makes several important contributions to the literature about non- parametric instrumental variables (NPIV ) estimation and inference on a structural function h 0 and functionals of h 0 .First,wederivesup-normconvergence rates for computationally simple sieve NPIV (series two-stage...

This paper proposes an approach to measure the extent of nonlinearity of the exposure of a financial asset to a given risk factor. The proposed measure exploits the decomposition of a conditional expectation into its linear and nonlinear components. We illustrate the method with the measurement...

The paper develops empirical implementations of the standard time-varying Panel Bayesian VAR model to deal with confounding and latent effects. Bayesian computations and mixed hierarchical distributions are used to generate posteriors of conditional impulse responses and conditional forecasts....

This paper studies the superhedging prices and the associated superhedging strategies for European and American options in a non-linear incomplete market with default. We present the seller's and the buyer's point of view. The underlying market model consists of a risk-free asset and a risky...

Can information on macroeconomic uncertainty improve the forecast accuracy for key macroeconomic time series for the US? Since previous studies have demonstrated that the link between the real economy and uncertainty is subject to nonlinearities, I assess the predictive power of macroeconomic...