This paper argues that opening up an economy to trade can result in welfare reducing deindustrialization when agents are subject to credit constraints. The standard interpretation of such deindustrialization as a reallocation of resources across sectors with no aggregate long-term adverse...

An overlapping-generations model where agents choose whether to become educated when young is presented. Education enhances productivity, but needs to be financed by borrowing. Because of the possibility of default, lenders may ration credit. We characterize the steady-state equilibrium with and...

Keynes' General Theory (1936) is arguably one of the most important books of the twentieth century. His ideas for stabilizing the aggregate economy have profoundly influenced economic theory as well as popular opinion about what governments can and should do with respect to the business cycle....

Consumers may observe previous consumers’ choices. They may follow their choices if they think these consumers are better informed. In turn, firms may concentrate on influencing the early consumers. This, in turn, changes the nature of early consumers’ choice behavior as a signal for other...

Over the past decade, household debt (as a share of household income) has reached historically high levels. This has raised concerns about whether, as a result of the rise in debt, households are now more financially ‘fragile’. Using data from the 1998/99 Household Expenditure Survey (HES),...

In this paper we hypothesize that greater macroeconomic uncertainty would cause firms to increasingly turn to their suppliers as a source of finance, making greater use of trade credit. We test this hypothesis using a panel of non-financial firms drawn from the annual COMPUSTAT database and show...

Using a large panel of 6946 French manufacturing firms, this paper investigates the effect of sales, of the cost of capital and of liquidity constraint variables (cash flow or cash stock) on the stock of capital from 1990 to 1999. The user cost elasticity is at the most 0.26 in absolute terms...

This paper shows that the two main models in the buffer stock saving literature can be nested in a model that varies the level of available social insurance. Equivalently, the assumption about the time series process for labor income (and social insurance during unemployment) is crucial in...