Indicators of financial crises generally do not have a good track record. This chapter presents an early warning system (EWS) for six countries in Asia in which indicators do work. We extract a full list of currency crisis indicators from the literature, apply factor analysis to combine the...

This paper adopts a Bayesian approach to the problem of tree structure specification in nested logit models. I use the Laplace approximation and Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) to estimate marginal likelihoods in both a simulated and a travel mode choice data set. I find that...

We propose a new estimation technique to deal with missing response variables in the context of a nested multinomial logit model. Survey data often have a significant number of incomplete or missing responses. If such data are systematically missing (i.e., not missing at random) and if such...

The present paper aims to analyse interregional freight transport movements in Europe in order to forecast spatio-temporal patterns of new transport economic scenarios.In view of the high dimension of our data-base on transport flows, two different approaches are compared, viz. the logit model...

This paper addresses the issue of technogenesis and its geographical pattern. It aims to offer both a general analysis framework and a test on innovation data from several European cities. This framework is mainly built on the product life-cycle and the incubation approach. On the basis of this...