Doepke, Joerg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Siliverstovs, Boriss - Fachbereich Sozialökonomie, Universität Hamburg - 2009
17 different forecasts per year, we test for a possible asymmetry of the forecasters' loss function and estimate the … rationality of the forecasts under the assumption of a possibly asymmetric loss function and for the features of an optimal … forecast under the assumption of a generalized loss function. We find only limited evidence for the existence of an asymmetric …