Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Siliverstovs, Boriss - KOF Swiss Economic Institute, Department of Management, … - 2009
17 different forecasts per year, we test for a possible asymmetry of the forecasters' loss function and estimate the … rationality of the forecasts under the assumption of a possibly asymmetric loss function and for the features of an optimal … forecast under the assumption of a generalized loss function. We find evidence for the existence of an asymmetric loss function …