This paper applies the explicit aggregation (Xpa) algorithm developed by den Haan and Rendahl [2010. Solving the incomplete markets model with aggregate uncertainty using explicit aggregation. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 69–78] to the heterogeneous–firm models of Khan and...

This study develops a framework to forecast India's gross domestic product growth on a quarterly frequency from 2004 to 2018. The models, which are based on real and monetary sector descriptions of the Indian economy, are estimated using Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) techniques. The real...

This paper uses potential outcome time series to provide a nonparametric framework for quantifying dynamic causal effects in macroeconometrics. This provides sufficient conditions for the nonparametric identification of dynamic causal effects as well as clarify the causal content of several...

Belarusian authorities contemplate transiting to inflation targeting. The paper suggests a small structural model at the core of the forecasting and policy analysis system. A well-researched canonical structure of Berg, A., Karam, P. and D. Laxton (2006) is extended to capture specifics of...

This paper considers a two-country macro model where private bond can serve as financial liquidity. With incomplete markets, higher bond liquidity leads to higher growth from more efficient financing of investment opportunities, but also generates higher instability by increasing equilibrium...

This article is concerned with frequency-domain analysis of dynamic linear models under the hypothesis of rational expectations. We develop a unified framework for conveniently solving and estimating these models. Unlike existing strategies, our starting point is to obtain the model solution...

This article proposes that is termed the ‘Tolerance-Autonomy Model' to explain Sino-DPRK relations by expanding prior theories on international relations between a hegemon and periphery states. According to the model, China will allow actions of the DPRK within the ‘boundary of tolerance' so...

Traditional macroeconomic data used by economic agents to make decisions are noisy, lack richness, and produced with considerable lag. This chapter explores how alternative, web-scale data sources (“Big Data”) can help. We present a case study using a common alternative data source- web...

What is the state of macroeconomics? We answer this question by hand collecting information about the epistemological approaches, theoretical and empirical methods, and data sources used by macroeconomists in their research. During the past 40 years there has been an increasing reliance on...