The liquidation of seven decades communist rule in central Asia in 1991, has witnessed an unprecedented politico-economic experiment. The shift from Planned Economy to the revolutionary transition of market economy is complicated process for newly installed governments. Uzbek Economic transition...

The AD-RICE2012 model is an updated version of the AD-RICE99 (Nordhaus and Boyer 2001) model, where the AD_RICE99 model is based on the RICE99 model and the AD-RICE2012 on the RICE2010 (Nordhaus 2010) model. In this document, we will describe the calibration of the AD-RICE2012 model and compare...

Since Adam Smith, economic thought has maintained that the economy has an inherent tendency to reach an optimal equilibrium under perfect competition. I demonstrate, contrary to this orthodoxy, that the economy constituted with Homo economicus under perfect competition continues its...

This working paper presents a simple model for the macroeconomic behavior of bitcoin based on the economic equation of exchange. According to this model, the value of bitcoin is determined largely by the willingness of bitcoin holders to save bitcoin and not by its transactional use. This model...

The paper presents the methodology for attaching probability distribution or intervals of variation to point forecasts. This methodology might prove significant for countries that have suffered deep structural transformations in their not very distant past. For these models, stability is more...

Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to...

This paper reviews the evidence on how households in Sub-Saharan Africa segment along consumption, income and earning dimensions relevant for quantitative macroeconomic policy models which incorporate heterogeneity. Key findings include the importance of home-grown food in the income and...

In order to assess climate mitigation agreements, we propose an iterative procedure linking TIAM-WORLD, a global technology-rich optimization model, and GEMINI-E3, a global general equilibrium model. The coupling methodology combines the precise representation of energy and technology choices...

Nowadays, many countries adopt an active agenda to mitigate the impact of greenhouse gas emissions by moving towards less polluting energy generation technologies. The environmental costs, directly or indirectly generated to achieve such a challenging objective, remain however largely...