We use a spatial Probit model to study the effect of contagion between banking systems of different countries on the probability of a systemic crisis in one county. Applied to the late 90’s banking crisis in Asia we show that the phenomena of contagion is better seized using a spatial than a...

Household specific consumption behavior is of interest for various social and economic problems. The “Poverty Report” of the Federal government of Germany for example uses the information on consumption expenditures by different household types in the context of social participation. Other...

After the 2008 global economic crisis, as one of the emerging markets, Indonesia experiences a lot of capital inflows. The increase in capital inflows stimulated economic activities and caused macroeconomic fluctuations. This study focused on the analysis of pull and push factors that affect the...

Degradation of the environment, including the pollution of water, soil and air, the irreversible loss of biodiversity, and depletion of natural resources are global threats to sustainable development. The threats are enhanced by the impact of climate change already being felt in many developing...

This paper considers structural models when both I(1) and I(0) variables are present. The structural shocks associated with either set of variables could be permanent or transitory. We therefore classify the shocks as (P1,P0) and (T1,T0), where P/T distinguishes permanent and transitory, while...

For a long time fuels such as gas, coal or oil have been the most important cost items for power generation accounting for 70% of the variable costs (Crampes and Fabra, 2005), since they were usually marginal generation technologies that set wholesale prices (Bosco et al., 2010). Intuitively,...

This paper provides an empirical analysis of CO2 emissions and economic growth, based on a panel dataset covering 93 countries over the period 1960-2008, and examines the challenge of country selection for homogeneous and appropriates groups. We have proposed a no parametric hierarchic...

In the current context where the limited role for monetary policy instruments apparently endows fiscal policy with higher effectiveness, European fiscal policy authorities are rather constrained by the fact of most countries being struggling against recessions together with the need to put...

Empirically investigates the shock relationship of exchange rate volatility on bilateral trade flows between Nigeria and India. Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) 1. The innovations of Nigeria trade flows shocks to related India price and income shocks shows that it generates inconsistencies that...

We examine the effect of output shocks in different regions of the world on South Africa, with the use of a customised global vector autoregression (GVAR) model for the country from 1980 to 2010. The aim of the paper is to compare the impact of economic shocks in different countries on the South...