Predicting the near-future delay with accuracy for trains is momentous for railway operations and passengers’ traveling experience. This work aims to design prediction models for train delays based on Netherlands Railway data. We first develop a chi-square test to show that the delay evolution...

We study the characterization of the identified set of parameters in infinite time horizon dynamic games, with only imposing weak assumptions on the information structure. In particular, we impose an assumption on the minimum amount of information the agents have about the payoff types. Our goal...

We study a dynamic assortment selection problem where arriving customers make purchase decisions among offered products from a universe of $N$ products under a Markov-chain-based choice (MCBC) model. The retailer observes only the assortment and the customer's single choice per period. Given...

This paper examines continuous-time models for the S&P 100 index and its constituents. We find that the jump process of the typical stock looks significantly different than that of the index. Most importantly, the average size of a jumps in the returns of the typical stock is positive, while it...

There have been more than 500,000 opioid overdose deaths since 2000. To analyze the opioid epidemic, we construct a model where individuals, with and without pain, choose whether to misuse opioids knowing the probabilities of addiction and dying. These odds are functions of opioid use. Markov...

Motivated by the large-scale click behaviors on the online platform, we present three new click models for different applicable scenarios, namely, the local-browsing click model and global-browsing click model with recurrent/nonrecurrent customers. These three click models are developed based on...

The authors apply a Hidden Markov Model to identify regimes of shifting inflation and then employ an attribution technique based on the Mahalanobis distance to identify the economic variables that determine the trajectory of inflation. Their analysis enables policymakers to focus on the most...

We study the problem of when to sell an indivisible object. There is a monopolistic seller who owns an indivisible object and plans to sell it over a given span of time to the set of potential buyers whose valuations for the object evolve over time. We formulate the seller's problem as a dynamic...