This paper presents a toolkit to solve for equilibrium in economies with the effective lower bound (ELB) on the nominal interest rate in a computationally efficient way under a special assumption about the underlying shock process, a two-state Markov process with an absorbing state. We...

Consider a setting where N players, partitioned into K observable types, form a directed network. Agents' preferences over the form of the network consist of an arbitrary network benefit function (e.g., agents may have preferences over their network centrality) and a private component which is...

In a context where European stock prices have been trending upwards, one of the main concerns is that stocks perceived as more sustainable from an environmental, social and governance (ESG) perspective could be particularly exposed to exuberance. To shed some light on the magnitude of the...

This paper evaluates the prices of European-style options when dynamics of the underlying asset is assumed to follow a Markov-switching Heston's stochastic volatility model. Under this framework, the expected return and the long-term mean of the variance of the underlying asset rely on states of...

This paper utilizes Bayesian (static) model averaging (BMA) and dynamic model averaging (DMA) incorporated into Markov-switching (MS) models to forecast business cycle turning points of the United States (US) with state-level climate risks data, proxied by temperature changes and its (realized)...

This paper proposes a Differential-Independence Mixture Ensemble (DIME) sampler for the Bayesian estimation of macroeconomic models. It allows sampling from particularly challenging, high-dimensional black-box posterior distributions which may also be computationally expensive to evaluate. DIME...

This paper extends the Bayesian stability notion of Liu (2020) to define the Bayesian stability of a market state , which consists of a matching outcome and an information structure. Here, the information structure can be arbitrarily heterogeneous among agents. We first establish that Liu’s...

We study (interim correlated) rationalizability in a game with incomplete information. We characterize the recursive set of possible rationalizable hierarchies through a finite automaton and provide a revelation principle that characterizes the distributions over these hierarchies that arise...