Waggoner, Daniel F.; Zha, Tao - 2012
We estimate a Markov-switching mixture of two familiar macroeconomic models: a richly parameterized dynamic stochastic … general equilibrium (DSGE) model and a corresponding Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) model. We show that the Markov-switching … mixture model dominates both individual models and improves the fit considerably. Our estimation indicates that the DSGE model …