We investigate the out-of-sample, recursive predictive accuracy for (fully hedged) commodity future returns of two sets of forecasting models, i.e., hidden Markov chain models in which the coefficients of predictive regressions follow a regime switching process and stepwise variable selection...

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to study the Hölder calmness of solutions to equilibrium problems and apply it to economics. Design/methodology/approach - The authors obtain the Hölder calmness by using an effective approach. More precisely, under the key assumption of strong convexity,...

This paper presents an innovative new approach to investment portfolio design, which applies a discrete, state-based methodology to defining market states and making asset allocation decisions with respect to both current and future state membership. State membership is based on attributes taken...

Based on a simple prior, this note derives upper bounds for the coefficient of absolute & relative risk aversion if utility can be written as depending linearly on the mean and variance of income.