Credible assessment of a pandemic is critical in decision-making by healthcare providers, local and national government agencies, and international organizations. It facilitates a valuable lead time to policy-makers for efficient planning, resource allocation, and enforcing interventions. This...

This document introduces the R library BGVAR to estimate Bayesian global vector autoregressions (GVAR) with shrinkage priors and stochastic volatility. The Bayesian treatment of GVARs allows us to include large information sets by mitigating issues related to overfitting. This improves inference...

We examine optimal information disclosure by an informed mediator through Bayesian persuasion in a bilateral ultimatum bargaining game with two-sided incomplete information and inequality aversion. The information changes how the responder attributes the bidder's aggressive offer, and hence her...

BayVAR_R is an R package designed to estimate and analyze Vec-tor Autoregressive (VAR) models from both a classical (UVAR) andBayesian (BVAR) perspective. The package includes functionalities forthe speci cation, estimation and diagnosis of such a models. It alsoprovides procedures for...

Identifying the performance factors of organizations is of utmost importance for labor studies for both empirical and theoretical research. The present study investigates the essential intra- and extra-organizational factors in determining the performance of firms using the European Company...

This paper develops a dynamic portfolio selection model incorporating economic uncertainty for business cycles. It is assumed that the financial market at each point in time is defined by a hidden Markov model, which is characterized by the overall equity market returns and volatility. The risk...