In this paper we provide evidence that the trading activity of small retail investors carries significant genuine information for the short term out-of-sample forecasting of foreign exchange rates. Our findings are based on a unique dataset of around 2000 retail investors from the OANDA FXTrade...

This paper investigates the multiscale (frequency-dependent) relationship between technical trading profitability and feedback trading effects in the Canada/U.S. dollar foreign exchange market. The results suggest weak evidence that technical trading activities of financial and non-financial...

This paper studies the workup protocol, a unique trading feature in the U.S. Treasury securities market that resembles a mechanism for discovering dark liquidity. We quantify its role in the price formation process in a model of the dynamics of price and segmented order flow induced by the...

We introduce the financial economics of market microstructure into the financial econometrics of asset return volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function between latent returns and market microstructure noise, which feature...

This study adds to the literature on estimating the probability of informed trading (PIN), which interests market microstructure empiricists, by proposing the q-adjustment to the process of estimating PIN. Due to challenges in accessing the data necessary for distinguishing between buyer- and...

Este estudo teve o objetivo de investigar a assimetria de informação existente na negociação de ações no mercado acionário brasileiro. Para isso, foi estimada a probabilidade de negociação com informação privilegiada (PIN) de 229 ações durante os anos de 2010 e 2011, por meio do...

We compare the market quality of the newly established, second board of the China stock market, the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) with the Main board, and examine its impact on the Main board from the market microstructure perspective. Using the newly available transaction level data, several...

The current research assesses the risks commonly attributed to the presence of HFT in the context of different market structures deployed by the U.S. exchanges. In particular, we find that, by design, the so-called “normal” exchanges have the lowest market quality, including the highest...

A parimutuel market microstructure for contingent claims trading is proposed and analyzed. A parimutuel microstructure is a call auction where relative equilibrium prices of contingent claims are endogenously determined using a specific mechanism. We propose a market microstructure incorporating...

Explaining exchange rates has long been an important but vexing issue in international economics and finance. In recent years, a number of studies have shown that investors' private information plays a central role in determining exchange rates. We demonstrate in this paper that the private...