We propose several nonparametric predictors of the mid-price in a limit order book, based on different features constructed from the order book data observed contemporaneously and in the recent past. We evaluate our predictors in the context of an order execution task by constructing order...

The probability of informed trading (PIN) is used widely as a measure of information asymmetry. Relatively little work has appeared on how well PIN models fit empirical trade data. We reveal structural limitations in PIN models by examining their marginal distributions and dependence structures...

We study how transparency, modeled as information about one's counterparty liquidity needs, affects the functioning of an over-the-counter market. In our model, investors hedge endowment risk by trading bilaterally in a search-and-matching environment. We construct a bargaining procedure that...

This paper provides explicit formulas for the first and second moments and the autocorrelation function of the number of jumps over a given interval for the multivariate Hawkes process. These computations are possible thanks to the affine property of this process. We unify the stock price models...

This chapter investigates the influence of improved pre-trade transparency on the information content of the limit order book. Data from two natural experiments are examined: when the Sydney Futures Exchange increased the limit order book disclosure from the best bid and ask level to the best...

We use experimental asset markets to analyze trading under different transparency and information settings. We find that both liquidity and informed traders use undisclosed orders to compete for liquidity provision. In opaque markets, traders increase aggressiveness to improve execution...

Modern advanced and ultra-high strength steel grades are subject to issues of hydrogen embrittlement (HE), particularly for strength levels above 1000 MPa. The present project has been designed in order to investigate microstructural features and to obtain insights into causes and mechanisms of...