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  • Search: subject:"Modified mixture of distribution hypothesis"
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Bivariate stochastic volatility model with surprising information 1 Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) 1 Modified mixture of distribution hypothesis 1 Realized volatility models 1 Volatility forecasting 1
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English 1
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Park, Beum-Jo 1
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Journal for Economic Forecasting 1
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RePEc 1
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Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets Using a Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Model with Surprising Information
Park, Beum-Jo - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2011) 3, pp. 37-58
Most asset returns exhibit high volatility and its persistence. Heuristically, this paper focuses on the role of surprising information in high volatility processes and indicates that dismissing surprising information may lead to considerable loss in forecast accuracy. In response, this paper...
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