We use the monetary model of exchange rate determination to generate in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts of the Rupee-Dollar exchange rate. The assumptions of flexible prices and maintenance of Purchasing Power Parity implies that the domestic price level and the exchange rate are endogenously...

In this paper, we test three popular versions of the monetary model (flexible price, forward-looking and real interest differential models) for the OECD member countries by applying Johansen cointegration technique. Based on country-by-country analysis, we conclude that monetary models do not...

We built the largest dataset of high-frequency exchange rates so far. Our sample covers the spot prices and order flows of 19 currency pairs over the last 15 years measured on Reuters and EBS at the thirty-second frequency. We show that common, price-based factors describe exchange rate dynamics...

Data for the U.S. and the Euro-area during the post-Bretton Woods period shows that nominal and real exchange rates are more volatile than consumption, very persistent, and highly correlated with each other. Standard models with nominal rigidities match reasonably well the volatility and...

This paper concentrates on three financial variables in promoting capital accumulation in the two groups of Asian economies. The empirical result shows that the ASEAN economies' financial performance is far less satisfactory than the four Asian NIEs. Considering the experience of the last two...

We propose an exchange rate model which is a hybrid of the conventional specification with monetary fundamentals and the Evans-Lyons microstructure approach. We estimate a model augmented with order flow variables, using a unique data set: almost 100 monthly observations on inter-dealer order...