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NIPA variables 1 forecasting 1 news and noise 1 real-time data 1
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Aruoba, Boragan 1
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Data Revisions Are Not Well-Behaved
Aruoba, Boragan - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005
We document the empirical properties of revisions to major macroeconomic variables in the United States. Our findings suggest that they do not satisfy simple desirable statistical properties. In particular, we find that these revisions do not have a zero mean, which indicates that the initial...
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