We develop a Bayesian dynamic model for modeling and forecasting multivariate time series relaxing the assumption of normality for the initial distribution of the state space parameter, and replacing it by a more flexible class of distributions, which we call Generalized Skew-Normal (GSN)...

We derive closed form European option pricing formulae under the general equilibrium framework for underlying assets that have an <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$N$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mi>N</mi> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation>-mixture of transformed normal distributions. The component distributions need not belong to the same class but must all be transformed normal. An...</equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>

Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a statistical method for post-processing forecast ensembles of atmospheric variables, obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models, in order to create calibrated predictive probability density functions (PDFs). The BMA predictive PDF of the...