Assessing the efficiency of the whole system of Local Government tiers – Regions, Provinces, Municipalities, other Local Government Organizations and Local Public Enterprises – allows for the system’s internal organization to play a role in the conventional measures of efficiency and...

In this paper we introduce a new perspective of linear prediction in the functional data context that predicts a scalar response by observing a functional predictor. This perspective broadens the scope of functional linear prediction currently in the literature, which is exclusively focused on...

This paper aims to introduce a nonlinear model to forecast macroeconomic time series using a large number of predictors. The technique used to summarize the predictors in a small number of variables is Principal Component Analysis (PC), while the method used to capture nonlinearity is artificial...

This paper applies the new procedure developed by Bai and Ng (2006a) to explore the relation between the Fama–French factors and the latent risk factors in China’s stock market. The results show that the Fama–French factors are good proxies for risk factors of portfolios. For individual...

In this paper, we evaluate the role of using consumer price index (CPI) disaggregated data to improve the accuracy of inflation forecasts. Our forecasting approach is based on extracting the factors from the subcomponents of the CPI at the highest degree of disaggregation. The data set contains...

This paper proposes a way to study the transmission mechanism of the US monetary policy to foreign yield curves. It elaborates the high-frequency identification of monetary policy shocks from Piazzesi (2005) in an international setting and uses a sample of 125 policy rate decisions of the Fed to...